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Confessions of a Fintech Chief Data Scientist

January 8, 2017

Justin DickersonMy name is Justin Dickerson. For most of 2016, I was the Chief Data Scientist at Snap Advances (Snap), a funding company of merchant cash advances based in Salt Lake City, Utah. I can’t discuss my awesome work at Snap for obvious reasons. And fortunately, I don’t need to in order to make the key points I want to convey through this article. That’s because I’ve also been a senior level data scientist at two other companies, and I’m also a well-regarded statistician who holds one of the most prestigious credentials offered by the American Statistical Association.

One discovery over the past year prompted me to start collecting my thoughts for this article. I was looking at the financial performance of On Deck Capital (the largest company in the alternative fintech industry which is also publicly traded) through the first nine months of 2016 relative to the same period in 2015. Gross revenue increased more than $22 million while net income for the same period fell nearly $50 million. I’m not an accountant, but that doesn’t sound good to me. And let’s face it, this fact doesn’t surprise anyone in our industry, especially given what’s happening at CAN Capital. But one interesting and overlooked fact is worth considering. According to my Linkedin search, there were between 30 and 40 data scientists (all levels) working for On Deck Capital during the same time period in which they lost $50 million. So, not only does On Deck Capital lose a lot of money, it appears they need a lot of intellectual horsepower to figure out how to do so.

And here we are today. We’re looking at an industry full of companies trying to navigate the abyss of hyper-aggressive originators and spiraling default rates. If you’re a Chief Data Scientist for one of these companies, you’re undoubtedly feeling the heat from your management team. The problem is simple. How do you grow your business (or even stabilize it) in an environment where you have to take too many uncomfortable risks? We’ll ignore the fact this question has plagued much larger industries for many years (e.g., trying to compete against Wal Mart in the retail space). Boards of Directors in alternative fintech have short memories and believe this is a unique problem to their industry and era. As a result, data scientists are at a premium as they’re seen as key players in how to resolve this crisis and steer their companies to safe harbors. Well, here is my opinion. They’re dead wrong, and here is why.

Data Scientists Are Tactical, not Strategic

This statement may end up being the most controversial thing said in the data science industry this year. But let me make my case. Of those 30-40 data scientists working for On Deck Capital, more than 80% of them have a Master’s degree in a field of study synonymous with data science. Specifically, many of them attended Columbia University’s Master’s degree program in Operations Research. The four required courses for that degree are: Optimization Models and Methods, Introduction to Probability and Statistics, Stochastic Models, and Simulation. From there, students can choose from one of six concentrations (all but one of which are targeted toward quantitative methods). Further, students selected for this program already have highly refined quantitative skills as demonstrated by the pre-requisite courses for admission (e.g., multivariate calculus, linear algebra, etc.). So, in essence, the program takes really smart quantitative people (quants) and makes them even smarter quants, while sprinkling in 6 elective courses which may or may not provide an opportunity to learn something about the “real” world of business.

Make no mistake, the students attracted to programs such as these generally aren’t the professionals you send to meet with investors and pitch them on new strategic directions for a company. They are the professionals who sit in cubicles and spend their days writing code. They are experts in programming languages such as R, Python, Java, Scala, and many others. Ironically, they are enslaved to similar rules which govern the same supervised machine learning algorithms they create each day. They aren’t allowed to “get out of the box” and see the “forest through the trees.” If I’m portraying them as a bit robotic, that’s intentional on my part.

I don’t want to leave the impression data scientists can’t think for themselves. Specifically, those who earn a PhD are known to have such skills and are often praised for their abilities to rise above the technical chains of their existence and offer strategic direction to an organization. But they are few and far between in the data science factory found deep in the bowels of companies like On Deck Capital. Instead, more and more alternative fintech companies seek out the same “cookie-cutter” data scientist who can check off the same boxes on the hiring list. This means the data scientist role is relegated to a part of the company lacking diversity of thought, creativity, and the organizational respect needed to save a company from itself.

The Law of Diminishing Returns

One of the most intelligent questions asked of me within the alternative fintech industry was, “do we really have enough data to justify so many data scientists?” As a Chief Data Scientist, you always want to answer that question with an emphatic, “YES!” Even better, you may tell your management team you need even more data scientists to make a “real and lasting contribution to the company.” After all, the existence of your team depends on it. But when you’re away from the management team and thinking about the structure of your department, the honest Chief Data Scientist knows the company is at risk of experiencing the law of diminishing returns.

All of us can recognize the law of diminishing returns from our freshman year Economics course. In short, it’s the concept of achieving less than a one to one relationship between an additional unit of input relative to the resulting measured output. For example, the reduction in default rate for a financial product is hardly ever proportional to the number of data scientists employed by the company to predict default rates. In fact, I would argue once you have more than two or three data scientists, even the largest organizations would have a difficult time justifying the payroll investment based on proportional gains in default rate management.

So, why do companies like On Deck Capital have so many data scientists? I believe it’s more akin to the comfort food we all like to eat in the winter. There is hardly anything as satisfying as my grandmother’s homemade chili during a cold Utah night. And the more of it I get, the warmer I feel! The problem is the chill of winter eventually fades and the light of day shone on financial statements eventually begs the question of whether we’ve simply eaten too much.

Make no mistake, NO organization needs endless amounts of data scientists to be successful. In fact, I would argue two or three excellent data scientists armed with superior data science/machine learning platform technology such as those offered by IBM, Microsoft, or DataRobot is more than enough to guide an organization to success. The key when thinking about staffing a data science department is to think in terms of credibility. If I have three data scientists each armed with PhD training, 15 years of industry experience, and the tools (such as a great machine learning platform) to do the mundane parts of data science usually done by legions of Master’s degree data scientists, am I more credible in the organization than I am with 30 quants who all grew up in an economy where nothing bad ever happened to financial institutions? If you want your data scientists to help your organization, you’ve got to be willing to let them into the board room and present digestible recommendations for action. So the question becomes, do I have a team that is credible enough to meet such a standard?

The Supremacy of Domain Expertise

I learned a lot during my time as a Chief Data Scientist. Since leaving Snap, I’ve established two companies. The first is Crossfold Analytics. This is my data science consulting company. We only serve the fintech industry and we spend most of our time building real-time machine learning prediction services for small to mid-sized fintech companies. And I think we’re darn good at it! The second company is Crossfold Capital. This is my independent sales organization (ISO) focusing on merchant cash advance, business loan, and factoring products. It was when I established Crossfold Capital that I learned the most valuable lesson of all about data science in alternative fintech. Nothing will ever replace the experience of working in the trenches of the business (what I call “domain” expertise). In alternative fintech, this is generally working within the trenches of a sales organization. If I could go back in time and start over as Chief Data Scientist at Snap, I would start my job by underwriting files and selling merchant cash advances for a month. Absolutely nothing I learned in math, statistics, or any quantitative subject can replace what I’ve learned running my own ISO in just the past two months. I wish every alternative fintech company would adopt a training program for data scientists that allowed them to spend their first month in the field calling on clients and working with potential customers. If you understand the business, you can bring immeasurable value to your company by blending that understanding with your technical skills as a data scientist. I truly believe such an approach could take the power of a data scientist and magnify it three-fold. Otherwise, you end up having a rogue department of quants that people in the trenches of the business either don’t understand or don’t trust.

My Recommendation to Alternative Fintech Companies

Based on what I’ve learned as an alternative fintech data science professional, I would make three recommendations to all companies in our industry. First, hire diverse talent. It’s imperative a data scientist knows enough about coding to be effective at building predictive models. But I would trade extensive coding expertise for a data scientist who also had a Bachelor’s or Master’s degree in business administration. We don’t need an army of robots in data science. We need gifted thinkers who also happen to have advanced technical skills. Second, don’t “over-eat” even though it can be cold outside. More data scientists aren’t going to solve your problems. In fact, hiring the same type of data scientist only encourages “group-think” which can actually be very detrimental to your organization. Focus on building a credible data science department, not a massive data science department. Finally, put your smartest people in the dirt of the business. Have them spend a week underwriting files. Then send them to sell your products with one of your ISO managers. Don’t treat your data scientists as fragile figurines. As a good friend of mine from Texas says about his gun collection, “they may be worth a lot, but they’re so dirty from hunting you wouldn’t know it!”

I hope my confessions help your organization navigate both fair seas and choppy water.

Merchant Cash Advance’s David and Goliath End an Era

January 5, 2017
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David vs. GoliathBefore there was Capify and CAN Capital, there was AmeriMerchant and AdvanceMe. Those are the original names of the two industry rivals whose history goes back more than 10 years. When I started working for an MCA company in 2006, I was taught two things, that AdvanceMe claimed to have a patent on merchant cash advance’s core feature and that AmeriMerchant’s CEO was leading the charge to have it invalidated. Back then, AdvanceMe had sued AmeriMerchant and several other companies for violating its automated payment patent and it was the biggest threat to the industry’s future at the time.

A real life David and Goliath saga, it was only fitting that AmeriMerchant’s CEO was actually named David. His last name Goldin, he went on to win the lawsuit in such a big way, the story was featured in the New York Times. At that time in 2007, the Times quotes Goldin as saying, “It’s a victory against patent trolls. This has changed the landscape. The days of coming up with an obvious idea and patenting it and using legal extortion are over.”

With the patent invalidated, numerous entrepreneurs felt the coast was clear to start a merchant cash advance company, thus paving the way to become an industry that now originates more than $10 billion a year in funding to small businesses. AdvanceMe was a Goliath in that it held a virtual monopoly on MCA in the late 90s and early 2000s. They had such a huge head start on everyone, that they were still the largest MCA company in the US in 2014 (if you don’t count OnDeck which only does loans).

tug of warThat era is coming to a close. AdvanceMe, today CAN Capital, suspended funding in late November of 2016 after internal issues were discovered, which resulted in mass layoffs and executive departures. And AmeriMerchant, today Capify, announced it is integrating its US operations with another industry rival, Strategic Funding Source (SFS), who will be managing all of their US customers going forward.

While CAN Capital’s ultimate fate is still yet to be determined, the end of Capify’s US presence is an M&A event, the first one of 2017. An insider at SFS said on a call that Capify’s international operations were not part of the deal in any way. Goldin will continue to run his company’s other offices such as Capify UK like normal. In the US however, more than twenty of Capify’s employees are being transitioned to work as SFS employees and to work from SFS’s office.

In the transaction’s announcement, Goldin is quoted as saying “we are very pleased to have put together a deal with Strategic Funding that will provide our customers a future source of important capital. As a company that shares our values of providing simple, transparent and responsible access to capital for small and mid-sized businesses, it was a logical transition.”

SFS, founded in 2006, and today one of the largest MCA funders in the nation, is a worthy successor. In a way, the more things in this industry change, the more things stay the same. As a testament to that, the antagonist of the 2007 NY Times story is Glenn Goldman, then the CEO of AdvanceMe and today the head of Credibly, another MCA competitor that also underwent a name change.

At the time, Goldman wrote to the Times, saying, “Although we feel vindicated that the court found clear infringement of our patent by each of the defendants, we respectfully disagree with the court’s findings on validity.”

Ironically, ACH is now the main payment mechanism for merchant cash advances, not split-processing, rendering the patent battle that took place a decade ago practically moot. It’s the end of an era.

My Three Year Anniversary of Investing on Lending Club’s Platform

January 3, 2017
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3 Years ExperienceIt’s been three long years since the first month that I ever bought a Lending Club note and to commemorate the event, I decided to go back and see what I did and share what I’ve learned since then.

In January 2014, I attempted to buy ten $25 notes for a total of $250, all of which were A and B-grade with 36 month maturities. Here’s what happened:

  • Four of them paid off early
  • Four of them are current and are just about to mature
  • Two of the loans ended up not getting funded

So I actually only ended up getting $200 worth of notes and the results were great. But I didn’t stop there. I went on to buy more than $85,000 worth of Lending Club notes over the next two and a half years. The last note I ever bought was on June 8, 2016. If you’re wondering if I’ve made money, I have so far, but that still assumes a doomsday event doesn’t happen with the rest of my outstanding notes that will mature over the next few years.

Here are a few things I learned since the day I first started:

Reinvesting isn’t guaranteed
There is no guarantee that a similar new note will be available to replace one that just paid off. In the immediate post-Laplanche era, there were very few notes on the retail platform to buy and sometimes even none at all. Any number of major events could cause a situation like this to happen on a marketplace lending platform so you need to be prepared to manage idle cash should there be few or no suitable replacement notes.

Early payoffs can be very bad
This is related to reinvesting but can be bad all on its own. Lending Club charges retail investors a 1% penalty on outstanding principal whenever a borrower pays off their loan early (so long as the loan is 12 months old). Few people seem to be aware of this and it really makes no sense. Consider that as a retail investor you not only lose the interest you would make for the rest of the life of the loan on a good paying borrower, but you also get hit with a penalty on top of it even though you as the investor had nothing to do with the borrower’s decision. That sucks a lot. And potentially even worse, but plausible, what if there were no identical notes available to replace the ones lost to an early payoff? You lose three times.

Other platforms and banks are working against you
Banks like Discover and Goldman Sachs are actively working to steal Lending Club’s borrowers. And when they are successful, loans get paid off early, which hurts your investments. I’ve had nearly 1,000 of my borrowers pay off early on Lending Club for some reason or another already, so this is a major phenomenon.

Diversification isn’t just about the letter grades
Don’t put all your money in 1 note, but also don’t put all your money on 1 platform. Lending Club is still just a single company so you should only invest a small percentage of your investable assets on it. I have placed smaller experimental amounts on other platforms such as Prosper, StreetShares and Colonial Funding Network (Strategic Funding Source.) And yet, the bulk of my personal investments are actually in more traditional assets.

Holes in transparency
One of Lending Club’s biggest draws has been its transparency with investors but there’s still a lot of information that is withheld. When a borrower pays off early, investors aren’t told why or how it happened. Are borrowers really refinancing a credit card or are they taking the money and going to Vegas for the weekend? Investors don’t know and the true use of funds isn’t verified. Is the borrower broke? Lending Club focuses on a borrower’s credit profile, not on how much cash the borrower has in the bank, which could be $0 or negative. I’ve encountered plenty of investors that have argued that a borrower’s cash flow history is a non-factor or a burden on approval speed, but coming from a commercial financing background, I am still shocked that a consumer’s historical cash flow plays no role in getting a three-to-five year loan.

When a borrower stops paying, don’t expect to know why
A common theme in the collections notes of delinquent borrowers is the dreaded “Called. No answer,” line which can repeat for days, weeks, or months on end. Some borrowers will just stop paying and then never answer Lending Club’s calls again or they’ll ask that they “cease and desist” from making future calls. Was it financial hardship? You won’t always get the satisfaction of knowing, making it truly a numbers game.

This is a speculative investment
The value of your portfolio might not have volatile swings, but there are numerous risk factors that can impact performance. Only invest a small percentage of your investable assets.

It’s a nice investment option to have
Investing in notes backed by consumer loans is a great yield opportunity for retail investors in a low savings account rate environment. Despite the risks, retail investors don’t have many alternatives to earn a decent return outside of the stock market. Hopefully marketplace lending platforms don’t completely move away from retail investors.

AltFinanceDaily’s Top 10 Most Read Stories of 2016

December 28, 2016
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Top 10

If 2015 was the year of the broker, well then 2016 was the year of readjusted expectations. The following are the top 10 most read stories of 2016 per our online analytics, some of which surprised even us. Either way, here’s what you read and shared on our website the most in 2016 in descending order:

10: Do Bank Statements Matter in Lending? Business Lenders and Consumer Lenders Disagree
A 2015 story, it was the 10th most read in 2016. One thing the lending revolution has taught us is that a borrower’s bank statements can mean everything or nothing at all.

9: Should I start an ISO with only $2,000?
Even though this was published two full years ago, it managed to be the 9th most read story of 2016. The short answer to this question is no, don’t start an ISO with such a small budget especially not in 2016 or 2017.

8: Lending Club Class Action Lawsuit Predicated on Madden v Midland Risk
A big story early in the year was Madden v Midland, and the impact an appellate court ruling could have on marketplace lenders who rely on chartered banks to make loans for them in 50 states. This particular post and related ones attracted a lot of readers in 2016.

7: Business Loan Brokers and MCA ISOs Call it Quits
For the first time ever, brokers and ISOs began to say farewell to an industry faced with oversaturation.

6: Merchant Cash Advance Accounting – A How To Guide
Published two full years ago, the merchant cash advance accounting guide managed to be the 6th most read article on AltFinanceDaily in 2016. The article is meant for MCA funders bookkeeping, not for merchants who use merchant cash advances.

5: Lending Club Borrowers Are Paying Off Really Early – And There’s Something Weird About It
Lending Club’s loan borrowers pay off their loans early at a freakish level. I pondered this in a blog post in February and the trend has not changed. To date, I’ve had 975 borrowers pay off early, nearly double since the time this was published.

4: Platinum Rapid Funding Group Sets Annual Funding Record
An astounding amount of visitors were interested in Platinum Rapid Funding Group’s 2015 origination volume. An announcement that the company had originated $100 million in deals was the 4th most read story of 2016.

3: Merchant Cash Advance Definitely NOT a Loan, New York Judge Rules
Yet another post referencing Platinum Rapid Funding Group, was a decision issued in a New York trial court. In it, a judge opined at length about the nature of purchasing future receivables.

2: Shakeup at CAN Capital – CEO and 2 other Execs Put on Leave of Absence
Despite being less than a month old, this story on its own was the 2nd most read of 2016, technically followed by this one and this one, both also about CAN’s recent issues. We combined them into one story for the purpose of this list since they were all related to the same event.

1: The Closer – Meet the Yellowstone Capital Rep That Originated $47 Million in Deals Last Year
The #1 most read story on AltFinanceDaily in 2016 was a profile about a salesman at Yellowstone Capital. Juan Monegro, who originated $47 million worth of deals in 2015, was also recently reported to have matched that number again in 2016.

A Q4 To Remember – A Timeline

December 18, 2016
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This story appeared in AltFinanceDaily’s Nov/Dec 2016 magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

In case you haven’t noticed, it’s been an interesting few months for alternative finance. The below timeline is an expanded version of what appears in the print version of our Nov/Dec magazine issue.


9/27 Able Lending secured $100 million in debt financing

9/30 The FTC won a judgement of $1.3 billion against payday loan kingpin Scott Tucker, its largest ever award through litigation

10/11 The United States Court of Appeals for The District of Columbia ruled the CFPB’s organizational structure unconstitutional. To remedy, the agency will either have to convert its one-person directorship to a multi-member commission or the director will have to report to the President of the United States. The CFPB is appealing the decision.

10/13 Affirm secured $100 million in debt financing

10/14

  • CircleBack Lending was reported to have ceased lending operations
  • Goldman Sachs unveiled its new online consumer lending division, Marcus

10/20 CommonBond secured a $168 million securitization deal

10/24 Bizfi announced that John Donovan had joined the company as CEO. Donovan was the COO of Lending Club from 2007 to 2012.

10/25

  • Expansion Capital Group announced new management team. Vincent Ney, the company’s majority shareholder became the CEO
  • Lendio raised $20 million through a new equity round led by Comcast Ventures and Stereo Capital
  • Lending Club announced its foray into the $1 trillion auto refinancing market

11/1

  • Cross River Bank raised $28 million in equity led by Boston-based investment firm Battery Ventures along with Silicon Valley venture capital firms Andreessen Horowitz and Ribbit Capital
  • Square beat earnings estimates and extended $208 million through 35,000 loans in Q3

11/3

  • OnDeck announced earnings, continued use of balance sheet to fund loans and extended $613 million in Q3
  • Independent merchant cash advance training course goes live, allowing brokers and underwriters to earn a certificate

11/4 SEC concluded its investigation into Lending Club

11/7 Lending Club announced earnings and a deal to sell $1.3 billion worth of loans to a National Bank of Canada subsidiary

11/8 CFG Merchant Solutions secured a $4 million revolving line of credit

11/9 Donald Trump became the President-Elect

11/11

  • Fintech leader Peter Thiel joins the executive committee of Trump’s transition team
  • Kabbage appointed Amala Duggirala as Chief Technology Officer and Rama Rao as Chief Data Officer

11/14 Prosper’s CEO Aaron Vermut, stepped down

11/16

  • UK-based p2p lender Zopa applied for a banking license
  • Small business lender Dealstruck reportedly ceases lending operations
  • Former Lending Club CEO revealed to be launching a new rival, Credify

11/17

  • LiftForward secured a $100 million credit facility
  • Prosper filed their Q3 10-Q, revealing that they only originated $311.8 million in loans for the quarter compared to $445 million in Q2
  • The IRS sent a broad request to Coinbase, the nation’s largest bitcoin exchange, as part of a hunt for tax evaders
  • PeerStreet raised a $15 million Series A funding round led by Andreessen Horowitz

11/18 P2Bi raised $7.7 million in venture financing

11/22 LendIt announced the first ever industry awards event

11/29 Three C-level executives at CAN Capital are placed on a leave of absence after the company identified assets that were not performing as expected

12/2

  • Total Merchant Resources secures $20 million in private equity, launches wholesale funding division
  • Bitcoin-based P2P lending platform BitLendingClub shuts down
  • OCC announces they are moving forward with a special purpose national charter for fintech companies

12/8 Former CEO and co-founder of World Wrestling Entertainment tapped to run Small Business Administration

12/9 OnDeck announced new $200 million revolving credit facility with Credit Suisse

12/12 Knight Capital Funding announced new Chief Data Scientist

12/13 Fifth Third Bank is reported to buy a stake in franchise marketplace lender ApplePie Capital

12/14 BlueVine raised $49 million in Series D funding

12/15

  • Swift Capital named Tim Naughton as Chief Legal Officer
  • John MacIlwaine, Lending Club’s Chief Technology officer, submitted his resignation to the company to pursue another opportunity

12/16 CAN Capital is reported to have laid off more than 100 employees

This article is from AltFinanceDaily’s Nov/Dec 2016 magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

CAN Capital Woes Continue – Layoffs Commence

December 16, 2016
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More information is slowly starting to come out about the recent C-level removals at CAN Capital. In the meantime, the company announced major layoffs just before the holidays. American Banker says the number is 136 employees laid off just at CAN’s Kennesaw, GA office.

Multiple brokers that have done business with CAN in the past have told AltFinanceDaily that CAN is not actually servicing renewals for existing customers or that they’re only doing them on a highly selective basis, despite what the company said two weeks ago.

The company’s chief executive officer, chief financial officer and chief risk officer were all put “on a leave of absence” in late November after discovering that “some assets were not performing as expected and that there was a need for process improvements in collections.” All of their names have been removed from the leadership page on the company’s website.

While the collective expectation has been that CAN would resume funding new business again in January, the wave of layoffs do not inspire confidence. No executive replacements have been named and CAN’s chief legal officer still remains in place as the company’s “acting chief executive.” It’s a bizarre sequence of events that seems to indicate there will not be a return to normalcy any time soon.

A True Rapid Advance For Mark Cerminaro

December 16, 2016
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This story appeared in AltFinanceDaily’s Nov/Dec 2016 magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

Mark Cerminaro - Top Half of deBanked CoverIn the 1999 film “Any Given Sunday,” Al Pacino plays a pro football coach whose obsession with winning has torn apart his family. He’s also plagued by a meddlesome team owner, challenged by an offensive coordinator who’s after his job, and vexed by a talented but narcissistic backup quarterback. But none of that stops the coach from reaching deep inside to deliver a stirring halftime pep talk to his dispirited losing team. Assuring his players that life and football are both games of inches, he beseeches them to look into the eyes of the men around them. “You’re going to see a guy who will go that inch with you,” he declares. “Either we heal now as a team or we will die as individuals.” The players rally and explode onto the field.

It’s a scenario the sales staff can’t get enough of at RapidAdvance, a Bethesda, Md.-based alternative small-business finance company with more than 200 employees. Mark Cerminaro has screened a clip of the scene countless times in a company conference room to fire up his crew. Salespeople emerged from those meetings eager to make that extra phone call, provide the telling detail on an application or do whatever else it would take to taste the victory of making the sale. For Cerminaro, the movie and the sales meetings embodied his penchant for winning ethically through teamwork, dogged persistence and great customer experience. That credo has helped propel him to top management at RapidAdvance and has earned him accolades from once-skeptical financial services peers.

Cerminaro’s story begins in his hometown of Highland Park, N.J., where he experienced a small-town vibe but enjoyed easy access to New York City, Philadelphia and the Jersey Shore. He graduated in a class of 85 students from the local public high school, playing varsity football, basketball and baseball. Summers, he worked construction, did landscaping, delivered flowers and umpired Little League. “It was a great place to grow up,” he says.

Georgetown UniversityIn high school, Cerminaro sometimes went along for the ride when his sister, who was five years older, was choosing a college. On a visit to Georgetown University in Washington, D.C., Cerminaro stood in the student center and gazed out at the campus. “I’m going to come here and play football,” he told himself.

He made good on that vow when his high school football team made a reputation for itself, and Georgetown was among the schools that recruited him. Besides, it made sense to go there because he was interested in studying politics and going to law school. Growing up with a father who was chairman of the local Democratic Party, Cerminaro had his eye on eventually becoming governor of New Jersey.

Playing for the NFL on the way to the governor’s mansion seemed like a good idea, too. But Cerminaro, a quarterback, blew out his throwing arm two years into his collegiate football career. His dreams of making the pros died, but that left more time for academics. He plunged into a series of four rigorous internships, three of them in politics. He served two in the Clinton White House and one on Capitol Hill with Sen. Robert Torricelli, D-N.J. He fondly recalls talking to President Bill Clinton for five minutes before a state dinner. Then two hours later, after spending time with heads of state, the President called out, “There’s Mark, my fellow Hoya.” Cerminaro will never forget it.

Mark Cerminaro at Head of Table at RapidAdvance for deBanked Magazine

In the end, however, the fourth internship won out. Although Cerminaro hadn’t studied business or finance too much, he landed an internship in the local Washington, D.C., office of Morgan Stanley. If nothing else, it would help him manage his investments some day, he reasoned. However, he soon approached the operations manager and some senior brokers and offered to take on duties they didn’t want to fulfill. He had decided to learn about operations, and taking on extra work without additional compensation was in line with his new habit of figuring out what steps would take him where he wanted to go in life.

Cerminaro earned his managerial license with Morgan Stanley and accepted a job as associate branch manager in the Washington, D.C., office, managing and training new financial advisors. He considered the position great exposure to sales, management, operations and compliance – “elements that have paid dividends in the growth of my career,” he notes.

NYC Twin Towers MemoryEarly in Cerminaro’s tenure at Morgan Stanley, the company sent him for training with about 300 other new employees at 2 World Trade Center in Manhattan. The date was Sept. 10, 2001. When the trainees reported to the office the next day, they were in a 64th-floor conference room when they heard an explosion and saw shreds of paper floating past the windows. They didn’t realize yet that a terrorist-controlled jetliner had hit next door at 1 World Trade Center.

“I’M 22 YEARS OLD AND I MAY BE ABOUT TO DIE”


As they evacuated down a stairwell, the trainees heard and felt the concussion of the second plane that hit their building. “I’m 22 years old and I may be about to die,” Cerminaro remembers thinking. “Make sure my family knows I love them,” he prayed. He made it out and was greeted with smoke, debris, the flashing lights of emergency vehicles and panic in the streets. He walked to a restaurant some family friends operated in Little Italy and borrowed a working phone to call his family in New Jersey and let them know he was OK.

Returning to the D.C. office of Morgan Stanley, Cerminaro got back to work. He loved the entrepreneurial spirit at the company, but as the years passed he realized he was unlikely to amass enough power in the giant firm to dictate how it would operate, grow and change. So he was interested when someone he knew at Morgan Stanley told him about RapidAdvance, then a two-year-old company with about 20 employees. “I saw the opportunity to be part of building a company – that’s what drew me to RapidAdvance,” he recalls.

In 2007, Cerminaro interviewed with Jeremy Brown, who was RapidAdvance’s CEO at the time and has since advanced to chairman. “It was apparent that Mark had a well thought-out, well-articulated plan for sales,” Brown says of his first impression. “He had a presence about him, a command that said this guy a real leader – somebody who could make a long term component of the company.”

Cerminaro joined RapidAdvance as national sales director and began building a sales structure and team based on some of the elements of Morgan Stanley’s sales model. Developing KPIs, or key performance indicators, helped him measure progress. “You had to roll up your sleeves and get involved in every aspect of things,” he said of working for a startup in a fledgling industry. The company’s outbound call center came up with sales leads, and he cut and pasted them from an Excel spread sheet and divvied them up among the five or six account executives.

Mark Cerminaro Strategizing at RapidAdvance - deBankedCerminaro wanted to teach that handful of salespeople to function as business advisors and help them become the single point of contact for clients. His salespeople guided small-business owners through the application process and stayed in contact with them after the sale. He emphasized doing right by customers, teammates and the company as a whole. It was a vision that inspired the team.

“Mark was a great mentor and provided me a lot of guidance and tutelage over the years,” says Devin Delany, who started as an account executive at RapidAdvance and has moved up to director of sales. “His real mission was to create a sense of family and he executed on that to the fullest extent, creating a close knit team of upward of 40 folks who really care about one another.”

That sales “family” used dialogue marketing to refocus attention on prospects who had fallen out of the sales cycle. In those days they used a product-driven sales pitch based on merchant cash advances. Third-party partners included credit card processors and credit card ISOs. Brokers came onto the scene later.

Soon after Cerminaro arrived at RapidAdvance, the financial crisis struck. The company managed to navigate the troubled times and emerged with improved underwriting skills, a better understanding of leading indicators and a truer grasp of how its portfolio performs. Something else happened, too.

2008 Financial CrisisAs traditional lines of credit dried up during the recession, small businesses that didn’t accept credit cards began to search for working capital. In response, Cerminaro, Brown and Joseph Looney, RapidAdvance’s chief operations officer and general counsel, sat down and outlined a plan to offer small-business loans as well as MCAs. “That effort really redefined who RapidAdvance was,” Cerminaro says of the new loans. “We went from a single-product company to now being more of a solutions-based company,” he maintains. “We were able to shift from selling a product to doing needs-based analysis with our clients and focusing on what was the right solution for them.”

Cerminaro found it exciting to develop the loan program and oversee sales, but he was looking for more. He turned part of his attention to business development and even expanded his purview to include marketing. The company was thinking along the same lines. In 2010, RapidAdvance promoted him to senior vice president, sales and marketing. “As the company has grown we have had different needs, and we leaned on Mark and his skill set every time we made a change,” Brown says. “Every time we made a change he has stepped up and done what’s asked of him.”

“IT WAS A MASSIVE INVESTMENT FOR US AND WE HAD NO IDEA WHETHER IT WOULD PAN OUT”


Producing one of the industry’s first national television ad campaigns highlighted Cerminaro’s period as senior vice president. “We were the pioneers in being able to market through that medium,” he says. “It was absolutely scary at the same time. It was a massive investment for us and we had no idea whether it would pan out.” The sales staff were waiting in anticipation when the phones began ringing after the public saw the commercial. “The original spot we put together still tests well and drives a lot of traffic,” he notes. Viewers find a tune featured in the ad sticks in their minds and can’t help humming it – sometimes when they’d prefer they didn’t, he adds.

Then came another promotion. In 2013, just before Detroit-based Rockbridge Growth Equity LLC acquired RapidAdvance, Cerminaro was named chief revenue officer and became responsible for all revenue-generating activities and all of the company’s front end efforts. The company had grown significantly over the years, but the merger increased financial backing and thus accelerated growth, he says. For him, that meant pursuing a new type of partner company – asset-based lenders and factoring companies. It wouldn’t be easy. “The traditional lending market had a lot of misconceptions about our industry,” Cerminaro admits. “A lot of people in that business were very critical.”

Mark Cerminaro - RapidAdvance

But Cerminaro made the rounds of trade shows and visited conference rooms until he succeeded in winning the hearts of bankers, according to Will Tumulty, RapidAdvance’s CEO. “Mark and his team have developed partnerships in the commercial lending space,” Tumulty says. “There are a number of companies that have historically viewed working-capital funding as a competitor. We don’t see ourselves competing with those companies. Mark and his team have worked with those companies to get merchants what they need.”

As a testament to Cerminaro’s success in that quest, the Commercial Finance Association named him to its 2016 list of “40 under 40” achievers. He was the only person from alternative small-business funding to make that venerable list of prominent young lending executives. He helped spur his company on to other awards, too. The RapidAdvance Bethesda office was chosen for The Washington Post Top Workplaces 2016 list, and the RapidAdvance Detroit office made the list of 101 firms recognized as Metro Detroit’s 2016 Best and Brightest Companies to Work For.

“IT TOOK HIM PROBABLY A YEAR TO LAND AND CLOSE THE DEAL…”


Meanwhile, Cerminaro was successfully courting mega retailers, says Brown. When the possibility of becoming a partner with Office Depot arose, Brown felt hopeful but remained skeptical because of the long lead time required to convince so many executives in such a large corporation. “But mark was dogged,” he says. “It took him probably a year to land and close the deal and negotiate the agreement and sign the account. He went to countless meetings down in Florida. He participated in endless conference calls, but mark got the deal done. It’s a relationship we’re proud of, and he is singularly responsible for closing that deal.”

In those encounters with Office Depot execs, Cerminaro displayed savvy and professionalism, Brown says. They’re traits that will continue to pay off not only for RapidAdvance but for the entire industry, maintains RapidAdvance’s Looney. “He’s out there with lots of big banks and other potential partners,” says Looney. “He’s a good face for the industry.”

For Cerminaro, it’s satisfying to see RapidAdvance become all he dreamed it could be. But that still comes in second for him and differentiates him from the coach played by Al Pacino. Cerminaro’s the kind of guy who asked his father to be his best man and now has a wife and two sons of his own. “Your family and your loved ones are by far more important than anything else in your life,” he says.

This article is from AltFinanceDaily’s Nov/Dec 2016 magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

AI Sales Assistant Penetrating Alternative Finance Raises $34 Million in Series B Round

December 15, 2016
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digital brokersWondering how your competition always seems to be so on top of their game? They might be using an artificially intelligent sales assistant. Such technology was reported on last month when AltFinanceDaily learned that it had penetrated the alternative business financing industry through at least one company named AI Assist. AI Assist is powered by Conversica, a Foster City, CA-based technology firm that announced it had raised $34 million in a Series B round on Wednesday led by Providence Strategic Growth Capital Partners L.L.C. More than 1,000 companies across technology, automotive, higher education, finance, insurance, real estate and hospitality are using Conversica.

“Conversica’s AI technology has helped IBM be smarter about engaging our prospective customers and maximizing their value as they move through our sales funnel,” Kevin Pollack, head of IBM’s Global Email Marketing Practice, is quoted as saying in a press release. “Not only have we freed up resources within the marketing team and gained immediate value in the form of qualified sales opportunities, we are also seeing how AI can help transform our entire business moving forward.”

For Roman Vinfield, who launched a merchant cash advance ISO in 2015, it changed his life. “I hadn’t heard anything like an artificial-intelligence sales assistant,” said Vinfield. “The results we got within a month of using it were unbelievable.” Within the first month, Vinfield made $35,000 in revenues by spending just $4,000 and he eventually reduced his staff of 24 to 4 people. He’s since launched AI Assist, the exclusive reseller of Conversica to the alternative finance industry.

“We’ve gone way beyond the theoretical,” Conversica CEO Alex Terry told Fortune. A demo given by Vinfield of AI Assist, demonstrated that its artificial intelligence can communicate with merchants over emails in a way that is indistinguishable from a human. According to Fortune, Terry said the sales assistant software has proven so effective for some customers that recruiters have even mistaken the software for a human and tried to make a hire. Other contacts have sent in thank-you notes and flowers, he added.

Conversica has raised more than $56 million since inception. Providence, who led the Series B round, also owns stakes in Hulu and the Yankees Entertainment & Sports Network (YES Network). Conversica’s technology is only available to this industry via AI Assist.